Executive Summary
National Audit Office Value for Money Report
- The Bowman family of digital radios, and the associated Combat
Infrastructure Platform (CIP[Footnote 1])
project, are central to the plans of the Ministry of Defence (the
Department), to transform military communications and enable the
Armed Forces to operate more effectively and at a higher tempo. The
pressing need to replace the ageing analogue Clansman radios used
since the 1970s and provide secure, reliable voice communications
has made Bowman one of the Armys top priorities.
- After the termination of the original Bowman procurement in
2000[Footnote 2], the re-competed Bowman
contract was won by General Dynamics UK in 2001. In 2002 General
Dynamics UK also won the contract for CIP. Sensibly, given their
close links and dependencies, the two projects have been managed by
the Department and General Dynamics UK as one 2.4 billion
programme, called Bowman CIP. Bowmans In Service Date was achieved
in March 2004, though with 27 provisos, since reduced to 20. CIP
did not meet its approved December 2004 In Service Date but in
March 2006 it was declared in service with effect from December
2005, albeit with 32 provisos in addition to those for Bowman.
Declaring an In Service Date as achieved subject to provisos is not
unusual and is a way of making useful capabilities available to the
Armed Forces as soon as possible. CIP equipment is integrated with
Bowman and a limited CIP capability has been used with Bowman in
Iraq since April 2005, where the equipment is bringing benefits to
the Armed Forces. Notably, the secure voice radios and equipment
showing the position of units have performed well and soldiers have
growing confidence in them. Furthermore, the Department and General
Dynamics UK have co-operated since 2003 to deliver Bowman
enhancements under the Urgent Operational Requirements process, to
provide the military communications capability needed to carry out
specific operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.
- We have found evident commitment to the success of the
programme from a wide range of participants in the Department, the
Armed Forces and General Dynamics UK. Yet delivering the Bowman CIP
capability desired by the Armed Forces within specific time and
cost parameters has proved difficult. Such parameters are based on
the idea that a project reaches finality and essentially remains in
a steady state until a mid-life update. But programmes like Bowman
are in a state of continual development, as technical change and
operational experience require continual adjustments to be made to
them. Figure 1 highlights these factors as they affect Bowman CIP.
Responding to the challenges set by these factors requires Bowman
CIP to be managed as a programme where continual evolution and
refreshment are the norm. Traditional, linear, approaches to
equipment acquisition, with development, production and support
activity punctuated by one or more mid-life upgrades, will not
deliver the desired capability in a timely manner or to an
acceptable cost. This report examines the lessons which can be
learned from the experiences on the Bowman CIP programme which may
also be applied more generally to better deliver and sustain other,
similarly complex, military capabilities.
Figure 1 ("The challenge of delivering Bowman CIP") is
unavailable in this version of the executive
summary.
Management arrangements must be flexible and responsive and
embrace all aspects of capability
- The sheer scale and the demanding timescale of the Bowman CIP
programme have severely tested many of the Departments regular
management arrangements. The programme is not unique in this sense.
As several of our recent reports have highlighted[Footnote 3], the Department has not
routinely supplemented its managerial and budgetary structures with
a Senior Responsible Owner who is fully empowered with the
authority to effectively manage a programme to deliver and sustain
a given defence capability. Following the recent review of
acquisition structures and processes in support of through life
capability management (Enabling Acquisiiton Change), the Department
is now moving towards more systematic use of Senior Responsible
Owners for large equipment programmes. In the case of the Bowman
CIP programme, in early 2006, recognising the need to improve
higher level programme mangement, the Department took steps to
establish a programme office to coordinate the delivery of the
networks and the programmes supporting Network Enabled Capability,
incorporating Bowman CIP.
- The higher level programme management weaknesses contributed to
shortcomings in the management of risks. Such risks have not
consistently been well tracked and mitigated, and user requirements
and expectations could have been better managed. The Departments
processes for benefits realisation and tracking have also needed
strengthening. There has been recent strengthening in both areas.
Trials and ad hoc reports have given insights into how aspects of
initial versions are performing. However, as only a limited
capability has so far been delivered, it has not been possible to
quantify how far the full system will bring the claimed measurable
improvements in operational tempo and effectiveness. The Department
intends to strengthen benefits realisation and tracking in taking
the programme forward.
How the Department can further develop its managerial
arrangements for the delivery and sustainment of military
capability
The recent review of acquisition structures and processes
recommended a number of changes to improve the cost effective and
timely delivery and sustainment of military capability in the
changing defence environment. Building on these changes:
- The role of Senior
Responsible Owner requires both the authority that comes with
senior rank and sufficient time to effectively discharge the
onerous responsibilities. It would be unusual to find individuals
in the Department with both. The Department should consider more
regularly pairing a senior official with a full time programme
manager leading a properly resourced programme office. This
approach could be resource neutral if the Department re-allocates
to the Programme Office tasks (and the resources at present being
used to deliver them) which are being undertaken piecemeal by
different parts of the Department or by its industry
partners.
- The Department should
increase the profile of benefits management on major programmes
such as Bowman CIP to identify, optimise and track the expected
benefits from the Business Case through to their realisation. A
strong benefits management function generating robust evidence
across all areas of a given capability should help programme
managers to make better informed decisions in trading-off
anticipated benefits against time and cost.
- All stakeholders,
including suppliers, should have common access to information on
risks and benefits tracking. Responsibility for the collation and
analysis of data from all stakeholders, and co-ordination of
subsequent actions, should rest with a programme manager.
- The Joint Systems and
Networks Integration Bodies of Suppliers and Departmental
officials, established in 2003 to link up Bowman CIP with
complementary projects, are a step in the right direction. The
Department should track their performance closely to understand how
the principles can be applied to other defence programmes facing
similar complex integration challenges that span multiple
projects.
- In a long running
programme such as Bowman CIP; measuring the continuing strength of
the customer/supplier relationship, objectively and at regular
intervals, will be particularly important.
Agile decision making must be underpinned by high quality
information
- Planning for and managing the delivery of new military
capability is a hugely complex challenge. Successive Major Projects
Reports have highlighted the adverse effects of the Department and
its industry partners making key decisions, in cases where
technical progress and operational experience require continual
development and improvement of capability, without a robust
understanding of technical maturity or realistic estimates of the
costs and timescales.
- By the time the Department had, sensibly, appointed General
Dynamics UK as a single supplier to run both the Bowman and CIP
projects as a coherent programme, it had already spent five years
and 397 million (equivalent to 16.5 percent of the expected
procurement cost of Bowman) on earlier stages, of which it
subsequently wrote off some 51 million as not contributing to the
later programme.[Footnote 4] Despite this extended
assessment phase, the Departments business case still understated
the costs, timescales and technical challenges associated with
delivering key elements of the Bowman CIP capability. The need for
extra funding of 121 million has been identified, to overcome
technical difficulties identified during the development of the
Bowman system and for essential updates to take account of
advancing technology.[Footnote 5]
Such changes are handled through amendment to the contractual
Systems Requirement document. Though equating to only five percent
of total equipment costs this is in the context of a reduced total
number of vehicles and aircraft needing to be converted, and the
deferral of less urgent, though important, capabilities to a
possible later project. A trebling of the training facilities
assessed as necessary to make full use of Bowman CIP in service
will add a further 24 million of costs, and 204 million in total
operating costs over 25 years. Robust system support costs are
still being developed but are expected to rise beyond the levels
forecast in the business case in 2001.
- The Department recognised from the outset that its aspiration
to deliver the original capability within the approved timescale
was ambitious. While there were clear cost and operational reasons
which made it sensible to combine the fielding of Bowman and CIP in
a single conversion, the rapid delivery of Bowman radios heightened
the time pressure to develop and install CIP a software-intensive
programme requiring extensive trialling and development.[Footnote 6] The Department and General
Dynamics UK sought to mitigate this risk with a plan to install the
hardware for both systems at the outset, followed by successive
downloads of CIP software. But with too little time to trial,
refine and retrial the equipment and software, and with the scale
of the technical challenge becoming more evident, delivery of
capability has slipped behind the original schedule.
- Another and different kind of difficulty is that the Department
and General Dynamics UK under-estimated the challenge of installing
Bowman in the land vehicle fleet. In particular, not enough
preparatory work was done by the Department or General Dynamics UK
to underpin assumptions about how much variation there was within
the approximately 20,000 vehicles in the fleet. Managing the
conversion programme has been a difficult challenge for General
Dynamics UK to resolve, for some of which they have borne the
costs. Improved conversion rates, coupled with a reduction in the
number of vehicles required to be converted, increase confidence
that conversion can be completed by the end of 2007, within three
months of the original schedule.
What more the Department can do to take well informed, agile
decisions
In future, as complex capabilities are introduced and upgraded
incrementally, making effective investment decisions on the
delivery and sustainment of a given capability will place a premium
on the ready availability of accurate, up to date management
information. The Department is implementing initiatives to improve
programme management and ownership in the Information Systems
area.[Footnote 7] Building on this work, and
reflecting the experiences on the Bowman CIP programme, the
Department should:
f. Work
with its industry partners to share and maintain full listings of
programme assumptions as well as the rationale underpinning
them.
g.
Consider further how to address the problem that advanced
development programmes as complex as CIP bring inevitable
uncertainty as to how they will be used. The greater use of limited
mock ups or simulations for future Information and Communications
systems (in particular showing how their human/computer interfaces
will work), can help to plan for training needs. It can also help
users understand how the system may actually be used in practice,
including the implications for future tactical doctrine.
h.
Recognise more explicitly that the timely delivery of capability to
the Armed Forces is always likely to include elements of programme
concurrency, where a number of parallel activities must all be
completed before a key stage can be passed. The Department needs to
develop metrics to assess the extent of this in programmes. This
should bring better informed judgements about whether programmes
have enough risk margin and whether proposed timescales for the
delivery of capability are realistic.
i.
Revise its definition of In-Service Dates so that progress on
programmes planned to incrementally meet evolving capability needs
can be monitored against appropriate way-points established when
each increment of capability and the technology needed to deliver
it can be defined with certainty.
j.
Maintain regular channels for contractors and end users to develop
a shared, detailed, and regularly updated understanding of how new
equipment will be used. Similar arrangements need to be built into
procurement bidding processes, (which was not in General Dynamics
UKs view sufficiently the case for Bowman CIP).
k.
Ensure statistically representative testing of the configuration
and condition of existing vehicle fleets when planning major
conversion programmes. The alternative given the complexity of the
problem, is to achieve better configuration control of land
vehicles.
The future of Bowman CIP
10. By December 2004, it was clear that the
Bowman CIP programme was over-ambitious and needed thorough
revision. A recast programme was approved in July 2006. The recast
of the Bowman CIP programme has given the Department and General
Dynamics UK greater confidence about the way ahead. Funding for the
programme has been raised by 121 million (five per cent) and the
timescale for delivering capability has been extended by two years
to mid 2007[Footnote 8] for full delivery of the
minimum military capability required. Technical challenges remain
to be overcome to secure and build on the operational benefits
already being obtained through faster, secure voice
transmission.
11. Beyond the capability to be delivered in
2007, the future of Bowman CIP will be heavily influenced by the
outcome of a 10 million validation exercise to assess delivery of
those high-risk, still-evolving capabilities which have now been
deferred until they can be better understood. These include
ensuring that the system is interoperable with other United Kingdom
and allied countries communication and information systems under
the latest joint and NATO standards. The Departments best estimate
to date of the possible cost of this modified, deferred capability,
pending the outcome of the assessment exercise, is 200 million, but
it emphasises that the estimate is highly uncertain given the
extent of continuing and predicted change in the area of
battlespace management projects. The decision to defer CIP
capability to a later programme and to devote resources to
understanding the risks and possible solutions was a prudent one to
take in the circumstances.
- [back from footnote 1] Combat
Infrastructure Platform BISA, CIP, is described in Figure 3. It is
a set of three interrelated projects with strong dependencies on
Bowman that help with mission planning and dissemination of orders,
provide additional hardware and information handling capacity and
integrate these functions into armoured vehicles. It is intended to
replace many existing manual military command and control
processes.
- [back from footnote 2] By 1999, the
Department had lost confidence that the Archer consortium could
deliver a system that met its requirement in the necessary
timescale and that offered value for money.
- [back from footnote 3] National Audit
Office Reports: Ministry of Defence, Building an air manoeuvre
capability: The introduction of the Apache helicopter, HC 1246
Session 2001-2002: 31 October 2002. Combat Identification, March
2006.
- [back from footnote 4] This was a
combined cost of all the relevant work conducted with the previous
Archer Consortium, and an extended Assessment Phase post
Archer.
- [back from footnote 5] Paragraphs 4.6
to 4.7 illustrate the nature of the changes concerned.
- [back from footnote 6] The Brigade
trialling Bowman was deployed to Iraq in 2005; trialling continued
at a smaller scale using the Army's established trials
organisation.
- [back from footnote 7] White Paper on
Defence Industrial Strategy, Cm 6697 paragraphs C1.22C1.24,
December 2005.
- [back from footnote 8] Two years delay
based on the level of capability envisaged in the Interim version
of CIP planned for 2005 and broadly equivalent to the level of
capability planned for CIP by 2007 under the recast programme.