Changes made in 2007-08 to the pension schemes of civil servants, NHS staff and teachers are on course to deliver significant savings and stabilise pension costs around their current levels as a proportion of GDP. The changes are also set to transfer, from taxpayers to employees, extra costs if pensioners live longer than currently expected.
However, a report by the National Audit Office today warns that the value for money of the changes cannot be demonstrated, because the Treasury and employers did not agree the long term role of pensions in recruitment and retention of staff and the Treasury no longer has a financial objective against which to monitor the impact of the changes. In addition, the Treasury has not managed the risk that overall costs to taxpayers will be greater as a proportion of GDP, if growth in GDP is permanently less than expected.
The 2007-08 changes affected schemes that account for nearly three-quarters of UK public service pay-as-you-go pension payments and were the first financially significant changes to these schemes since the 1970s. There were immediate increases in employee contributions for NHS staff and teachers, following earlier increases for civil servants. The normal pension age was raised for new staff, from 60 years to 65 years in most cases. In addition, a new cost-sharing and capping measure was introduced to transfer, from employer to employees, the risk of extra costs from changes in factors such as pensioners living longer than previously expected.
The NAO estimates that these changes will reduce costs to taxpayers in 2059-60 by 14 per cent compared to forecasts made without the changes. Aggregate savings over all years in the period to 2059-60 are equivalent to £67 billion in 2008-09 prices.